15 May 2007

Automotive Axles


Automotive Axles (AUTAXL)


OUTPERFORMER
Current Price*: Rs 575 Target Price: Rs 716
Potential Upside: 24.5% Time Frame: 12 months


Automotive Axles Ltd (AAL) reported a whopping 57.1% growth in net sales to Rs 157.4 crore while net profit surged 41.8% to Rs 14.4 crore for the quarter ending March 31, 2007 (Q2FY07). EBITDA margins dipped marginally from 17.9% to 17.2%.

We had projected an EPS of Rs 37.5 for FY07 and the company has delivered an EPS of Rs 18.5 in the first six months. We are confident the company will achieve an estimated revenue growth of 26.7% (CAGR) and net profit growth of 25.7% over FY06-08E. We maintain our revenues estimates and reiterate our OUTPERFORMER rating with a target price of Rs 716. At the current price of Rs 575, the stock is trading at 15.3x FY07E EPS and 12.9x FY08E EPS.

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