In a press conference Monday, Obama calle
d for compromise as party leaders seek to craft a deal that raises the
legal limit on how much the U.S. government can borrow while slashing projected deficits over the next decade.
Obama on 'doing the biggest deal possible'
President Barack Obama holds a presser on the debt crisis and highlights what it will involve to resolve the current concerns. Video courtesy of Fox News.
Democratic and Republican leaders held talks Sunday, but discussions broke down over taxes and the meeting ended quickly. Obama said he would keep convening party leaders every day until a debt-limit deal is reached. He also said he would reject a stopgap measure of 180 days or less.
Congress has to raise the federal government’s legal debt limit by Aug. 2 or the nation could be in danger of defaulting on its debt, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has said. A U.S. default could put the economy back into recession and create panic in global financial markets.
The Treasury is already bumping up against a congressionally imposed borrowing limit of $14.3 trillion. The debt ceiling would need to be raised by about $2 trillion to allow the U.S. government to function normally until the 2012 election, based on the current rate of federal spending.
During the past few weeks talks about the debt limit morphed into a broader discussion between Obama and Republican House Speaker John Boehner over a much bigger deal that could cut long-term deficits by up to $5 trillion. Yet Boehner poured cold water on the idea of a “grand compromise” this weekend after Democrats insisted on sizable tax increases, Republicans say.
Republicans insist they won’t impose new taxes as part of a pact to increase the debt limit, arguing it would weaken the economy. Democrats say spending cuts alone can’t resolve the nation’s budget problems and that tax increases need to be part of the mix.
Congressional leaders will meet again Monday to try to breath fresh life into faltering talks. Obama said the two sides should continue to work on a longer-range compromise.
“The things I will not consider are a temporary stopgap measure to the problem,” Obama said. “This is the United States of America. We don’t manage our affairs in three-month increments.”
Exploding deficits
The Republican-controlled House has demanded Obama agree to reduce future spending by the same amount as any increase in the debt ceiling. Over the next 10 years the U.S. is projected to spend $46.1 trillion, which would add $7 trillion to the federal debt, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
We've seen this debt movie before...1990
WSJ's Laura Meckler takes us back to 1990 when President George H.W. Bush locked horns with Congress over spending and raising the debt ceiling. Sound familiar?Independent budget experts say that even a deal to lower long-term deficits by $2 trillion will be hard to accomplish. Conservatives are balking at any tax increase and liberals are loathe to cut large entitlement programs such as Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security.
“You need about $2 trillion in actual deficit reduction to get us through two years. That is by itself a very daunting number,” said Bill Galston of the Brookings Institution think tank. “I am scratching my head as how they get to an intermediate solution.”
Obama acknowledged Democrats are resistant to cuts and he said he’s prepared to “take significant heat from my party” to achieve a big deal that puts the U.S. government on much sounder financial footing. He said Republicans also have to compromise.
“I do not see a path to a deal if they do not budge, period,” he said. “If their basic proposition is ‘my way or the highway,’ there probably won’t be a deal done.”
Yet Obama also said he’s not asking Republicans to raise taxes before 2013. He indicated a preference for letting tax cuts passed under the Bush administration to expire at the end of 2012 as scheduled.
“Nobody has talked about increasing taxes now or next year,” he said.
Any deal is likely to involve sizable cuts in discretionary programs, which is basically everything else the government spends money on besides entitlements. There’s also a chance Republicans will accept the elimination of some tax breaks and perhaps even modest reductions in defense spending, though not the deep cuts sought by Democrats, experts say.
Whatever party leaders agree to has to win support in a U.S. House in which fiscal conservatives dominate. If not enough Republicans go along, Boehner would need some votes from a largely liberal Democratic caucus. It would be a hard sell.
“There remains far too much complacency and far little appreciation for the politics of the vote on the debt ceiling,” said Chris Krueger, a congressional analyst at MF Global in Washington, DC.
Despite all the hand-wringing in Washington, Wall Street still assumes that lawmakers will reach a deal in time.
“Asking what the U.S. economy might look like after a possible U.S. Treasury default is akin to asking, ‘What will you do after you commit suicide?’” Citigroup economic strategist Steven Weiting told clients.
Jeffry Bartash is a reporter for MarketWatch in Washington.